Associated Press
Republican presidential
candidates, Newt Gingrich, left, listens to Mitt Romney at a Republican
presidential candidates debate in Jacksonville, Fla.
Curiously, this means that if Mr.
Gingrich becomes president, three of the last five chief executives of
the United States will have grown up with minimal or no contact with
their alcoholic, self-destructive birth fathers. And if Mr. Romney wins,
three of the last five presidents will have emerged from the shadow of
charismatic, widely admired political leaders.
The latter category obviously includes George W. Bush, who still
worships his father, the war hero and president, who in turn profoundly
admires his father, Prescott Bush—the 6-foot 4-inch World War I
artillery captain, Wall Street titan and two-term U.S. senator from
Connecticut.
Other would-be presidents of recent years similarly struggled to live
up to legacies of famous fathers. Al Gore grew up in Washington, D.C.,
as the progeny of three-term U.S. Sen. Albert Sr., while John McCain
spent his early life trying to replicate the heroics of his father and
grandfather, both celebrated four-star admirals in the Navy.
No recent presidents can boast paternity that seems ordinary or
normal, finding middle ground between the intense expectations of a
powerful, prominent parent and the disasters of badly broken families
with absent birth fathers.
In one sense, these extreme backgrounds now dominate the presidential
process because that process itself has become so extreme. A rising
politico can no longer wait for colleagues to push or pull him toward a
White House race, or dream of sudden success at some brokered
convention. A serious candidacy currently requires obsessive pursuit of
power over the course of several years, with expenditure of tens of
millions in campaign cash.
What sort of person willingly undergoes such an ordeal? More and
more, it seems, either a privileged individual with a profound sense of
entitlement, or an unlikely upstart whose status as miraculous survivor
amounts to his own anointing. But despite a shared sense of
determination and destiny, famous-father candidates tend to run
dramatically different campaigns than do their no-father counterparts.
Sons of famous fathers work tirelessly to burnish family traditions
and complete the unfinished business of prior generations. George W.
Bush focused on winning the second term cruelly denied to his father,
and Mitt Romney still hopes to claim the Republican nomination that his
father lost to Richard Nixon in 1968.
Children of dominant dads display a
natural tendency to run such "Restoration" campaigns—complete with
pledges to bring back the nobility of some prior moment in history. At
times, the promise becomes explicit: In 2000, George W. Bush repeatedly
declared he would "return honor and dignity to the White House." This
line alluded not only to the scandals of the Clinton years, but harked
back to his father, the straight-arrow incumbent who occupied the Oval
Office before Slick Willy sullied it.
Restoration campaigns succeed or fail depending on historical context
and the nature of the opposition. In 1980, Sen. Ted Kennedy (son of a
world-renowned and dominant father) launched such a candidacy against
incumbent Jimmy Carter, much as big brother Bobby conducted a prior
Restoration campaign in 1968 against another sitting president, Lyndon
Johnson. In both instances, the Kennedy brothers offered a recreation of
the magical Camelot aura associated with their fallen brother,
deploying two inevitable advantages of Restoration campaigns: a sense of
legitimacy combined with nostalgia.
Unfortunately for Teddy, his Restoration campaign occurred at a
turbulent, angry moment in history much better suited to a very
different sort of candidacy: the "Peasant Rebellion" campaign most
comfortably associated with no-father candidates who fit naturally into
upstart, outsider roles.
When rage at the establishment prevails, Peasant Rebellions like
Barack Obama's hope-and-change campaign enjoy an undeniable edge over
Restoration campaigns like Hillary Clinton's primary run. She promised a
return to the glory days of her popular husband, but the public mood in
2008 favored something more daring.
Barack Obama's challenge in 2012
involves the uncomfortable incongruity of an incumbent president leading
a Peasant Rebellion against the powers-that-be. It's an embarrassing
stretch to threaten to upend the establishment when you're at the center
of that very establishment. Nevertheless, the president seems
determined to play out his role as born outsider: insistently blaming
Republicans (who have controlled a single house of Congress for barely a
year) for all dysfunctional government of the last three years.
An Obama-Romney contest might offer an incumbent president attempting
to employ his innate outsider's perspective to obscure the brute fact
of his incumbency, while Mr. Romney must mount an underdog, insurgent
campaign that reshapes his cautious, Restorationist temperament. The
outcome may well turn on which of the rivals most deftly adjusts to
playing an uncomfortable but unavoidable role.
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