Friday, May 2, 2008

U.S. Economy: Employers Lose 20,000 Jobs, Less Than Anticipated

May 2 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. lost fewer jobs than forecast in April, and the unemployment rate dropped, signaling that the economic slowdown may be milder than the 2001 recession.

Payrolls shrank by 20,000 workers, following a revised 81,000 drop in March that was larger than previously estimated, the Labor Department said today in Washington. The jobless rate fell to 5 percent, from 5.1 percent in March.

``We are in a recession, this report doesn't change that,'' said Ellen Zentner, an economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York, who had forecast a payrolls cut of 25,000. ``What it does is support the idea that the downturn will be mild. Consumer spending isn't going to tank.''

Treasury notes fell, while stocks and the dollar rallied on speculation the Federal Reserve will refrain from lowering interest rates next month after seven cuts since September. An average of 121,000 jobs a month were eliminated in the first four months of the 2001 recession, compared with an average of 65,000 this year. A separate report from the Fed showed factory orders rose more than anticipated in March.

``Obviously a negative number is still negative,'' said Bill Cheney, chief economist at John Hancock Financial Services in Boston, in an interview with Bloomberg Television. ``But it is still so close to zero that essentially it means flat,'' just as government tax-rebate checks are being mailed, which will be ``almost guaranteed'' to boost job growth.

Economists forecast payrolls would fall by 75,000 in April after a previously reported 80,000 decline the previous month, according to the median of 82 projections in a Bloomberg News survey.

Further Fed Steps

Minutes before the jobs figures were published, the Fed said it will increase its auctions of cash to banks and expanded the collateral it takes on from bond dealers. The steps are aimed at alleviating strains in credit markets.

Today's report also showed that income growth slowed last month as the economy stalled. The economy's 0.6 percent expansion rate over the six months through March was the weakest performance since the 2001 slump.

Factory payrolls slumped by 46,000 workers, Labor said. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had forecast a decline of 35,000. In the construction industry, employers cut 61,000 jobs, the most since February 2007.

General Motors Corp., the world's largest automaker, said April 28 it's reducing production of large pickup trucks and sport-utility vehicles this year at four plants in the U.S. and Canada because of slowing sales. The plan affects 3,550 workers.

Car Sales

Industry figures released yesterday showed that autos sold at a lower-than-forecast 14.4 million annual pace in April, the fewest since 1998.

Service industries, which include banks, insurance companies, restaurants and retailers, added 90,000 workers last month, the most this year, after an increase of 7,000 in March, today's report showed. The advance was led by business and professional services, along with education and health jobs.

Accenture Ltd., the world's second-largest technology- consulting company, will hire 60,000 people worldwide, Chief Executive Officer William Green told reporters on April 22. The company hasn't seen a drop or delay in orders from banks and financial companies, he said.

Retail payrolls declined by 26,800 after falling 19,300 a month earlier.

Home Depot Inc., the world's biggest home-improvement retailer, said May 1 it will close 15 stores and scrap plans for 50 more because the U.S. housing slump is hurting sales. The company will eliminate or move 1,300 jobs because of the closings.

Bank Hiring

Payrolls at financial firms increased by 3,000 jobs, after dropping 4,000 the prior month, Labor said. The gain, the first since July, is a surprise after figures from the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association showed that Wall Street banks and securities firms, hit by $309 billion of mortgage losses and writedowns, slashed 48,000 jobs in the past 10 months.

Federal Reserve policy makers this week lowered the benchmark overnight lending rate between banks by a quarter percentage point, to 2 percent, in a bid to revive the economy. The government also started sending out tax rebate checks that were part of its fiscal stimulus plan.

``Household and business spending has been subdued and labor markets have softened further,'' the central bank said April 30 in announcing its decision. It also said that the easing that has taken place since last year, along with efforts to stabilize financial markets ``should help to promote growth over time.''

GDP Growth

The U.S. economy expanded at a 0.6 percent annual pace in the first quarter, the Commerce Department said on April 30, as inventories increased because consumer spending slowed and business investment dropped. The rise in stockpiles, along with smallest gain in household spending in seven years, indicates the economy will weaken further in coming months.

The average work week declined to 33.7 hours from 33.8 hours, according to today's report. Average weekly hours worked by factory workers decreased to 40.9 from 41.2, while overtime fell to 3.9 hours from 4.0 hours. That brought average weekly earnings down by $1.45 to $602.56 last month.

Workers' average hourly earnings rose by 1 cent, or 0.1 percent, the least since October, to $17.88 in April. That compares with a 0.3 percent gain forecast by economists in the Bloomberg survey.

Hourly earnings were 3.4 percent higher than a year earlier, the smallest gain since January 2006.

Job losses and higher food and energy costs are making consumers anxious. The Conference Board's confidence index for April fell to 62.3, a five-year low. The share of respondents who expected their incomes to rise over the next six months was a record-low.

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