Clinton to take stage, then step aside for Obama
(CNN) -- For a moment, the spotlight will be back on Sen. Hillary Clinton as she takes the stage Tuesday for her last solo "hoorah" of the 2008 presidential election.
Sen. Hillary Clinton will deliver a highly anticipated speech Tuesday night.
Even though she's not Tuesday's keynote speaker, all the attention will be on her as she steps into a role that's a far cry from her original convention dreams. "Tuesday night is Hillary night," one Democratic source told CNN.
The next day, the Democratic senator is expected to release all her delegates to Barack Obama, bringing her White House run to an end.
In her speech Tuesday, Clinton will call for her supporters to rally behind Obama, said Doug Hattaway, a Clinton adviser who is part of the team crafting her speech. "I think we are going to hear that theme again -- loudly, clearly and in a heartfelt way," he said.
According to a CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll, 66 percent of Clinton supporters -- registered Democrats who want Clinton as the nominee -- are now backing Obama. But the number is down from the 75 percent who in June said they backed Obama. Read more on the poll
Tuesday's theme is "Renewing America's Promise." Clinton pledged to do just that back in January 2007, when she announced she was forming an exploratory committee to run for president. Watch a preview of Clinton's speech »
"The promise of America is that all of us will have access to opportunity, and I want to run a 2008 campaign that renews that promise, a campaign built on a lifetime record of results," she said in a statement declaring her intentions.
"I'm in. And I'm in to win," she said.
At the time of the announcement, Clinton was the hands-down favorite to carry the Democratic nomination. Her supporters thought that exactly two years from that day -- on January 20, 2009 -- she would be the candidate sworn into office.
Don't Miss
Back then, everyone knew what Clinton wanted: She wanted to run for president, and she wanted to make history with a win.
But after a protracted and bitter primary battle, that was not how the story unfolded.
Shortly after the primary season began, Clinton lost her grip on the first-place spot. It was Obama, the junior senator from Illinois, who would make history as the first African-American to lead a major party ticket.
"On this January night, at this defining moment in history, you have done what the cynics said we couldn't do," Obama told wildly cheering and chanting supporters in Iowa after he won the first contest of the election season.
Obama passed Clinton in the pledged delegate count in February. By May, he led across all fronts -- pledged delegates, superdelegates and the popular vote.
Despite calls to drop out of the race for the sake of party unity, Clinton vowed to stay in until every state weighed in.
Clinton squeaked out some wins in the home stretch. In the final months of the Democratic primaries, she won 500,000 more votes than Obama.
Even as Obama inched toward the finish line, he was clearly out in front.
No longer did people know what Clinton wanted.
In Clinton's non-concession speech, given on the night Obama crossed the delegate threshold, she tried to answer that question.
"I understand that a lot of people are asking, what does Hillary want? What does she want? Well, I want what I have always fought for in this whole campaign," she said on June 3 in New York.
"I want to end the war in Iraq. I want to turn this economy around. I want health care for every American. I want every child to live up to his or her God-given potential, and I want the nearly 18 million Americans who voted for me to be respected, to be heard and no longer to be invisible.
"While I traveled our country talking about how I wanted to help you, time and again, you reached out to help me, to grab my hand or grip my arm, to look into my eyes and tell me, don't quit, keep fighting, stay in this race for us."
Clinton said no decisions about her campaign would be made until she met with her supporters and party leaders. Three days later, she suspended her campaign and endorsed Obama.
Now, nearly three months after she bowed out and called on her supporters to rally behind her former rival, there are questions as to whether she has followed her own advice. Watch how the Clinton issue is playing out at the convention »
In what is being touted as a bid to heal the wounds of the bitter primary season, Clinton's name will be placed in nomination at the convention.
Obama's campaign encouraged her to have her name placed in nomination "as a show of unity and in recognition of the historic race she ran and the fact that she was the first woman to compete in all of our nation's primary contests," according to a statement from both candidates' press offices.
Clinton suggested that doing so could provide a "catharsis" for her supporters.
Clinton is scheduled to meet with her delegates Wednesday and will likely release them to Obama, sources told CNN.
"Don't be fooled into thinking this means it's one big happy family working together in concert. There's still, to my mind, a surprisingly large amount of negative feelings on both sides with these two camps," said Mark Halperin, a political analyst.
Voters are not quick to forget the bitter battle that framed the Democratic race, and voters are also not quick to believe that the wounds of the former rivals have completely healed.
Clinton is a passionate fighter. Remember when she entered a campaign event in to the tune of the theme song from the "Rocky" movies? During her address to the AFL-CIO in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, she said it herself: "When it comes to finishing the fight, Rocky and I have a lot in common. I never quit."
If Clinton pursued unity with the same gusto that carried her through the campaign season, perhaps people would stop asking, "What does Clinton want?"
On Tuesday, Clinton has the opportunity to make clear just what she isGallup Daily: No Bounce for Obama in Post-Biden Tracking
McCain creeps ahead, 46% to 44%
PRINCETON, NJ -- It's official: Barack Obama has received no bounce in voter support out of his selection of Sen. Joe Biden to be his vice presidential running mate.
Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 23-25, the first three-day period falling entirely after Obama's Saturday morning vice presidential announcement, shows 46% of national registered voters backing John McCain and 44% supporting Obama, not appreciably different from the previous week's standing for both candidates. This is the first time since Obama clinched the nomination in early June, though, that McCain has held any kind of advantage over Obama in Gallup Poll Daily tracking.
The race for president has been virtually tied since mid-August. In this period, Obama's support from national registered voters has consistently ranged from 44% to 46%. The 46% currently supporting McCain is technically his best showing since late May/early June, but is not a statistically significant improvement over his recent range from 43% to 45%. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.)
An analysis of historical election poll trends by Gallup Poll Managing Editor Jeff Jones shows that recent presidential campaigns have enjoyed a small (though short-lived) bounce from the running mate announcement. This includes a four percentage point bounce for John Kerry in 2004 after selecting John Edwards, a 5-point bounce for Al Gore in 2000 with his announcement of Joe Lieberman, and a 3-point bounce for George W. Bush in 2000 upon choosing Dick Cheney. Bob Dole received an extraordinary 9-point bounce in 1996 after bringing Jack Kemp onto his ticket.
All of these bounces occurred before the respective party's convention began, and in most cases the candidates received an additional boost in the polls upon completion of the convention. Thus, any increase in Obama's support in the coming days would seem to be more the result of the star-studded and well publicized Democratic national convention than the apparently lackluster Biden selection.
The official Gallup records will show that support for Obama declined by two percentage points in Gallup Poll Daily tracking (from 46% to 44%) conducted immediately before and after the Aug. 23 Biden announcement. (Because the announcement was made at 3 a.m. on Saturday, Aug. 23, all Gallup interviewing conducted that day can be considered post announcement.)
Today's Gallup Poll Daily tracking result includes interviewing on the first night of the Democratic National Convention (Aug. 25). However, much of this interviewing, particularly in the East and Midwest, was conducted before the prime time convention speeches by Sen. Ted Kennedy and Michelle Obama. The Gallup Poll Daily tracking results reported tomorrow may start to indicate whether voters are impressed enough by what they are seeing at the convention to give Obama the bounce that typically occurs as a result of a party's convention. -- Lydia Saad
Click here to see how the race currently breaks down by demographic subgroup.
Survey Methods
For the Gallup Poll Daily tracking survey, Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The general-election results are based on combined data from Aug. 23-25, 2008. For results based on this sample of 2,684 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
Interviews are conducted with respondents on land-line telephones (for respondents with a land-line telephone) and cellular phones (for respondents who are cell-phone only).
In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
No comments:
Post a Comment