Can Inflation Kickstart the Economy without Killing It?. by Jeffrey A. Miron
Many prominent economists believe the Fed should stimulate the economy by committing to an inflation target like 5 percent, rather than the current 2 percent. These economists argue that higher expected inflation means a lower real interest rate which can stimulate investment and hiring, thereby speeding up the economic recovery. This policy recommendation is logical as far as it goes. But it may not work, and it carries its own risks.
Higher inflation will not necessarily stimulate the economy because interest rates are not the only, and likely not the most important, factor that is limiting investment and hiring. Instead, pessimistic expectations by businesses about consumer demand, concern about an anti-business tilt in government policy, and fear of large tax increases to pay for entitlements, are plausibly playing larger roles. Thus raising the Fed's inflation target might generate higher inflation, with no other benefit to the economy.The Broccoli Test . by Michael D. Tanner
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ShareThis We should give it to the GOP presidential candidates.
Call it the broccoli test.During oral arguments before the Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit on the constitutionality of Obamacare's health-insurance mandate, the Obama administration's lawyer, Beth Brinkmann, was asked whether a federal law requiring all Americans to eat broccoli would be constitutional.
"It depends," she replied. But she could certainly envision cases where it would be.
[I]f a government can order you to buy insurance, what can't it do?That makes her only slightly less certain than Supreme Court justice Elena Kagan, who was asked the same question during her confirmation hearings. Kagan, who will help decide the fate of Obamacare's mandate, had no doubts that a broccoli mandate would be constitutional.
The "Great Leaders" Were Mass Murderers. by Anthony Gregory
[Great Wars and Great Leaders: A Libertarian Rebuttal • By Ralph Raico • Auburn, Alabama: The Ludwig von Mises Institute, 2010 • 246 pages. This review originally ran on LewRockwell.com.]
The greatest leaders, according to conventional appraisals, are usually those who draw the most blood. Most opinion makers distance themselves from Hitler, Mao, Stalin, and their ilk, although even here who can doubt they tower over modern history precisely because of their bloodletting? But in the West and especially the United States, historians, journalists, pundits, and especially politicians tend to admire leaders in proportion to the powers they claimed and exercised, which almost always corresponds with war making and killing."One of the most pernicious legacies of Hitler, Stalin, and Mao," writes Ralph Raico, "is that any political leader responsible for less than, say, three or four million deaths is let off the hook. This hardly seems right, and it was not always so" (p. 163). This is an astute observation, and it has relevance even in considering the "civilized" leaders of the United States and its allies, to say nothing of the second-tier communist butchers who continue to enjoy a cult following.
Opportunity and the Entrepreneur. by Peter G. Klein
[The Capitalist and the Entrepreneur (2010)]
While Schumpeter, Kirzner, Cantillon, Knight, and Mises are frequently cited in the contemporary entrepreneurship literature in economics and management, much of this literature takes, implicitly, an occupational or structural approach to entrepreneurship. Any relationship to the classic functional contributions is inspirational, not substantive.The most important exception is the literature in management and organization theory on opportunity discovery or opportunity identification, or what Shane (2003) calls the "individual–opportunity nexus." Opportunity identification involves not only technical skills like financial analysis and market research, but also less tangible forms of creativity, team building, problem solving, and leadership (Long and McMullan, 1984; Hills, Lumpkin, and Singh, 1997; Hindle, 2004). While value can, of course, be created not only by starting new activities but also by improving the operation of existing activities, research in opportunity identification tends to emphasize new activities. These could include creating a new firm or starting a new business arrangement, introducing a new product or service, or developing a new method of production. As summarized by Shane (2003, pp. 4–5),
14 Reasons Why We Should Nationalize The Federal Reserve
14 Reasons Why We Should Nationalize The Federal Reserve
12 Facts About Money And Congress That Are So Outrageous That It Is Hard To Believe That They Are Actually True
12 Facts About Money And Congress That Are So Outrageous That It Is Hard To Believe That They Are Actually True
The following are 12 statistics about money and Congress that are so outrageous that it is hard to believe that they are actually true....
The Police State Vs. Occupy Wall Street: This Is Not Going To End Well For Any Of Us
The Police State Vs. Occupy Wall Street: This Is Not Going To End Well For Any Of Us
17 Quotes About The Coming Global Financial Collapse That Will Make Your Hair Stand Up
17 Quotes About The Coming Global Financial Collapse That Will Make Your Hair Stand Up
25 Bitter And Painful Facts About The Coming Baby Boomer Retirement Crisis That Will Blow Your Mind
25 Bitter And Painful Facts About The Coming Baby Boomer Retirement Crisis That Will Blow Your Mind
Black Friday Violence Worse Than Ever As American Consumers Fight Over Deals Like Crazed Animals
Black Friday Violence Worse Than Ever As American Consumers Fight Over Deals Like Crazed Animals
Trouble. Economic Collapse Blog
The global economy is heading for a massive amount of trouble in the months ahead. Right now we are seeing the beginning of a credit crunch that is shaping up to be very reminiscent of what we saw back in 2008. Investors and big corporations are pulling huge amounts of money out of European banks and nobody wants to lend to those banks right now. We could potentially see dozens of "Lehman Brothers moments" in Europe in 2012. Meanwhile, bond yields on sovereign debt are jumping through the roof all over Europe. That means that European nations that are already drowning in debt are going to find it much more expensive to continue funding that debt. It would be a huge understatement to say that there is "financial chaos" in Europe right now. The European financial system is in so much trouble that it is hard to describe. The instant that they stop receiving bailout money, Greece is going to default. Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Spain and quite a few other European nations are also on the verge of massive financial problems. When the financial dominoes start to fall, the U.S. financial system is going to be dramatically affected as well, because U.S. banks have a huge amount of exposure to European debt. The other day, I noted that investor Jim Rogers is saying that the coming global financial collapse "is going to be worse" than 2008. Sadly, it looks like he is right on the money. We are in a lot of trouble my friends, and things are going to get really, really ugly.
Whose Fuse Is Shorter?. by Peter Schiff
With fiscal time bombs ticking in both Europe and the United States, the pertinent question for now seems to be which will explode first. For much of the past few months it looked as if Europe was set to blow. But Angela Merkel's refusal to support a Federal Reserve style bailout of European sovereigns and her recent statement the she had no Hank Paulson style fiscal bazooka in her handbag, has lowered the heat. In contrast, the utter failure of the Congressional Super Committee in the United States to come up with any shred of success in addressing America's fiscal problems has sparked a renewed realization that America's fuse is dangerously short.
Doug Casey on Fresh Starts. Interviewed by Louis James
L: Doug, we've had a lot of requests from younger readers asking for advice on how they should tackle the world, starting out amidst a crisis. We've also had questions from older readers asking what you might do differently if you were 21 again – or if you were suddenly unemployed and had to start from scratch. What do you think? Can you stroke your long, white beard and give us some practical guru wisdom for today's world?
Doug: I keep telling people I have no crystal ball, but they don't listen. Nobody has a crystal ball. But, perhaps paradoxically, I also keep giving people advice because they ask; and like anyone, I'd like to help – but those people rarely listen either.
Giving advice is temporarily gratifying to the giver, because it makes him feel like he knows something – for that moment. But it's ultimately frustrating because few receivers ever use advice. People generally have to make their own mistakes. I believe it was Stalin who said that even those few people who learn from their own mistakes weren't all that smart; he preferred to learn from other people's mistakes… not that Stalin should be considered a generally sound source of advice. It's odd, actually – one of history's great sociopaths dispensing words of wisdom…
Doug: I keep telling people I have no crystal ball, but they don't listen. Nobody has a crystal ball. But, perhaps paradoxically, I also keep giving people advice because they ask; and like anyone, I'd like to help – but those people rarely listen either.
Giving advice is temporarily gratifying to the giver, because it makes him feel like he knows something – for that moment. But it's ultimately frustrating because few receivers ever use advice. People generally have to make their own mistakes. I believe it was Stalin who said that even those few people who learn from their own mistakes weren't all that smart; he preferred to learn from other people's mistakes… not that Stalin should be considered a generally sound source of advice. It's odd, actually – one of history's great sociopaths dispensing words of wisdom…
No Lehman on the Aegean
Can we be spared a Lehman-style crisis when Greece’s hard default occurs?
After two years of denial about the European periphery’s solvency problem, European policy makers are finally, albeit grudgingly, facing up to reality. Indeed, they are now privately recognizing that Greece is very likely to default by year-end. And they have also come to the conclusion that such an eventuality makes it imperative both that an effective firewall be erected around Spain and Italy and that Europe’s banks need to be recapitalized.Merkel’s Moment
If past is prologue to the future, there is little reason to believe that Merkel will allow the ECB to provide unlimited support to the periphery.
As Europe’s sovereign debt crisis now envelopes Italy, Spain, and even France, one has to pity Angela Merkel, the doughty German chancellor. She now finds herself helplessly caught between two irreconcilable forces.America’s Public Sector Union Dilemma
There is much less competition in the public sector than the private sector and that has made all the difference.
Since the Great Recession began in 2008, there has been a growing criticism of public sector unions, reflecting taxpayer concerns about union compensation and unfunded pension liabilities. These concerns have led to proposals to change public sector union policy in very significant ways. Earlier this month, voters in Ohio defeated by a wide margin a law that would have restricted union powers, although polls showed broad support for portions of the law that would have reduced union benefits. In Wisconsin, a state with a long-standing pro-union stance, Governor Scott Walker advanced policy in February that would cut pay and substantially curtail collective bargaining rights of many public sector union workers. In Florida, State Senator John Thrasher introduced legislation that would prevent governments from collecting union dues from union worker state paychecks. And it is not just Ohio, Wisconsin, and Florida that are attempting to change the landscape of public unions. Cash-strapped governments in many states are considering ways to reduce the costs associated with public unions.Obama steers clear of deficit panel failure
President avoids political hot potato
The myth of bipartisanship
Principle should trump any effort to ‘just get along’
No budget deal just might be a good deal for U.S. economy. Patrice Hill
The reaction to the supercommittee’s epic failure this week to address the spiraling debt has been surprisingly muted on Wall Street and Main Street, in part because astute observers there have concluded that Congress may accomplish more by doing nothing when it comes to the deficit.
If partisan gridlock prevails in the next year or so, as seems likely in a presidential election year, about $7 trillion in tax cuts and spending programs will expire under current law — enough to eradicate the deficit problem by 2014 — well ahead of the most ambitious plans offered in Congress.
If partisan gridlock prevails in the next year or so, as seems likely in a presidential election year, about $7 trillion in tax cuts and spending programs will expire under current law — enough to eradicate the deficit problem by 2014 — well ahead of the most ambitious plans offered in Congress.
Armed illegals stalked Border Patrol. Jerry Seper
Five illegal immigrants armed with at least two AK-47 semi-automatic assault rifles were hunting for U.S. Border Patrol agents near a desert watering hole known as Mesquite Seep just north of the Arizona-Mexico border when a firefight erupted and one U.S. agent was killed, records show.
A now-sealed federal grand jury indictment in the death of Border Patrol agent Brian A. Terry says the Mexican nationals were “patrolling” the rugged desert area of Peck Canyon at about 11:15 p.m. on Dec. 14 with the intent to “intentionally and forcibly assault” Border Patrol agents.
A now-sealed federal grand jury indictment in the death of Border Patrol agent Brian A. Terry says the Mexican nationals were “patrolling” the rugged desert area of Peck Canyon at about 11:15 p.m. on Dec. 14 with the intent to “intentionally and forcibly assault” Border Patrol agents.
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