Imagine you
are in command of the state, defined as an institution that possesses
a territorial monopoly of ultimate decision making in every case
of conflict, including conflicts involving the state and its agents
itself, and, by implication, the right to tax, i.e., to unilaterally
determine the price that your subjects must pay you to perform the
task of ultimate decision making.
To act under
these constraints – or rather, lack of constraints – is
what constitutes politics and political action, and it should be
clear from the outset that politics, then, by its very nature, always
means mischief. Not from your point of view, of course, but mischief
from the point of view of those subject to your rule as ultimate
judge. Predictably, you will use your position to enrich yourself
at other people's expense.
More specifically,
we can predict in particular what your attitude and policy vis-à-vis
money and banking will be.
Assume that
you rule over a territory that has developed beyond the stage of
a primitive barter economy and where a common medium of exchange,
i.e., a money, is in use. First off, it is easy to see why you would
be particularly interested in money and monetary affairs. As state
ruler, you can in principle confiscate whatever you want and provide
yourself with an unearned income. But rather than confiscating various
producer or consumer goods, you will naturally prefer to confiscate
money. Because money, as the most easily and widely saleable and
acceptable good of all, allows you the greatest freedom to spend
your income as you like, on the greatest variety of goods. First
and foremost, then, the taxes you impose on society will be money
taxes, whether on property or income. You will want to maximize
your money-tax revenues.
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In this attempt,
however, you will quickly encounter some rather intractable difficulties.
Eventually, your attempts to further increase your tax income will
encounter resistance in that higher tax rates will not lead to higher
but to lower tax revenue. Your income – your spending money
– declines, because producers, burdened with increasingly higher
tax rates, simply produce less.
In this situation,
you only have one other option to further increase or at least maintain
your current level of spending: by borrowing such funds. And for
that you must go to banks – and hence your special interest
also in banks and the banking industry. If you borrow money from
banks, these banks will automatically take an active interest in
your future well-being. They will want you to stay in business,
i.e., they want the state to go on in its exploitation business.
And since banks tend to be major players in society, such support
is certainly beneficial to you. On the other hand, as a negative,
if you borrow money from banks you are not only expected to pay
your loan back, but to pay interest on top.
The question,
then, that arises for you as the ruler is, How can I free myself
of these two constraints, i.e., of tax-resistance in the form of
falling tax revenue and of the need to borrow from and pay interest
to banks?
It is not too
difficult to see what the ultimate solution to your problem is.
You can reach
the desired independence of taxpayers and tax payments and of banks,
if only you establish yourself first as a territorial monopolist
of the production of money. On your territory, only you are permitted
to produce money. But that is not sufficient. Because as long as
money is a regular good that must be expensively produced, there
is nothing in it for you except expenses. More importantly, then,
you must use your monopoly position in order to lower the production
cost and the quality of money as close as possible to zero. Instead
of costly quality money such as gold or silver, you must see to
it that worthless pieces of paper that can be produced at practically
zero cost will become money. (Normally, no one would accept worthless
pieces of paper as payment for anything. Pieces of paper are acceptable
as payment only insofar as they are titles to something else, i.e.,
property titles. In other words then, you must replace pieces of
paper that were titles to money with pieces of paper that are titles
to nothing.)
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Under competitive
conditions, i.e., if everyone were free to produce money, a money
that can be produced at almost zero cost would be produced up to
a quantity where marginal revenue equals marginal cost, and because
marginal cost is zero the marginal revenue, i.e., the purchasing
power of this money, would be zero as well. Hence, the necessity
to monopolize the production of paper money, so as to restrict its
supply, in order to avoid hyperinflationary conditions and the disappearance
of money from the market altogether (and a flight into "real
values") – and the more so the cheaper the money commodity.
In a way, you
have thus accomplished what all alchemists and their sponsors wanted
to achieve: you have produced something valuable (money with purchasing
power) out of something practically worthless. What an achievement.
It costs you practically nothing and you can turn around and buy
yourself something really valuable, such as a house or a Mercedes;
and you can achieve these wonders not just for yourself but also
for your friends and acquaintances, of which you discover that you
have all of a sudden far more than you used to have (including many
economists, who explain why your monopoly is really good for everyone).
What are the
effects? First and foremost, more paper money does not in the slightest
affect the quantity or quality of all other, nonmonetary goods.
There exist just as many other goods around as before. This immediately
refutes the notion – apparently held by most if not all mainstream
economists – that "more" money can somehow increase
"social wealth." To believe this, as everyone proposing
a so-called easy-money policy as an efficient and "socially
responsible" way out of economic troubles apparently does,
is to believe in magic: that stones – or rather paper –
can be turned into bread.
Rather, what
the additional money you printed will affect is twofold. On the
one hand, money prices will be higher than they would otherwise
be, and the purchasing power per unit of money will be lower. In
a word, the result will be inflation. More importantly, however,
all the while the greater amount of money does not increase (or
decrease) the total amount of presently existing social wealth (the
total quantity of all goods in society), it redistributes the existing
wealth in favor of you and your friends and acquaintances, i.e.,
those who get your money first. You and your friends are relatively
enriched (own a larger part of the total social wealth) at the expense
of impoverishing others (who as a result own less).
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The problem,
for you and your friends, with this institutional setup is not that
it doesn't work. It works perfectly, always to your own (and your
friends') advantage and always at the expense of others. All you
have to do is to avoid hyperinflation. For in that case people would
avoid using money and flee into real values, thus robbing you of
your magic wand. The problem with your paper-money monopoly, if
there is one at all, is only that this fact will be immediately
noticed also by others and recognized as the big, criminal rip-off
that it indeed is.
But this problem
can be overcome, too, if, in addition to monopolizing the production
of money, you also set yourself up as a banker and enter the banking
business with the establishment of a central bank.
Because you
can create paper money out of thin air, you can also create credit
out of thin air. In fact, because you can create credit out of nothing
(without any savings on your part), you can offer loans at cheaper
rates than anyone else, even at an interest rate as low as zero
(or even at a negative rate). With this ability, not only is your
former dependency on banks and the banking industry eliminated;
you can, moreover, make banks dependent on you, and you can forge
a permanent alliance and complicity between banks and state. You
don't even have to become involved in the business of investing
the credit yourself. That task, and the risk involved in it, you
can safely leave to commercial banks. What you, your central bank,
need to do is only this: You create credit out of thin air and then
loan this money, at below-market interest rates, to commercial banks.
Instead of you paying interest to banks, banks now pay interest
to you. And the banks in turn loan out your newly created easy credit
to their business friends at somewhat higher but still submarket
interest rates (to earn from the interest differential). In addition,
to make the banks especially keen on working with you, you may permit
the banks to create a certain amount of their own new credit (of
checkbook money) in addition and on top of the credit that you have
created (fractional-reserve banking).
What are the
consequences of this monetary policy? To a large extent they are
the same as with an easy money policy: First, an easy credit policy
is also inflationary. More money is brought into circulation and
prices will be higher, and the purchasing power of money lower,
than would have been the case otherwise. Second, the credit expansion
too has no effect on the quantity or quality of all goods currently
in existence. It neither increases nor decreases their amount. More
money is just this: more paper. It does not and cannot increase
social wealth by one iota. Third, easy credit also engenders a systematic
redistribution of social wealth in favor of you, the central bank,
and the commercial banks within your cartel. You receive an interest
return on money that you have created at practically zero cost out
of thin air (instead of on money costly saved out of an existing
income), and so do the banks, who earn additional interest on your
costless money loans. Both you and your banker friends thereby appropriate
an "unearned income." You and the banks are enriched at
the expense of all "real" money savers (who receive a
lower interest return than they otherwise would, i.e., without the
injection of your and the banks' cheap credit into the credit market).
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On the other
hand, there also exists a fundamental difference between an easy,
print-and-spend money policy and an easy, print-and-loan credit
policy.
First off,
an easy credit policy alters the production structure – what
is produced and by whom – in a highly significant way.
You, the chief
of the central bank, can create credit out of thin air. You do not
have to first save money out of your money income, i.e., cut your
own expenses, and thus abstain from buying certain nonmoney goods
(as every normal person must, if he extends credit to someone).
You only have to turn on the printing press and can thus undercut
any interest rate demanded of borrowers by savers elsewhere in the
market. Granting credit does not involve any sacrifice on your part
(which is why this institution is so "nice"). If things
then go well, you will be paid a positive-interest return on your
paper investment, and if they don't go well – well, as the
monopoly producer of money, you can always make up losses more easily
than anyone else: by covering your losses with even more printed
paper.
Without costs
and no genuine, personal risk of losses, then, you can grant credit
essentially indiscriminately, to everyone and for any purpose, without
concern for the creditworthiness of the debtor or the soundness
of his business plan. Because of your "easy" credit, certain
people (in particular investment bankers) who otherwise would not
be deemed sufficiently creditworthy, and certain projects (in particular
of banks and their main clients) that would not be considered profitable
but wasteful or too risky instead do get credit and do get funded.
Essentially,
the same applies to the commercial banks within your banking cartel.
Because of their special relationship to you, as the first recipients
of your costless low-interest paper-money credit, the banks, too,
can offer loans to prospective lenders at interest rates below market
interest rates – and if things go well for them they go well;
and if they don't, they can rely on you, as the monopolistic producer
of money, to bail them out in the same way as you bail yourself
out of any financial trouble: by more paper money. Accordingly,
the banks too will be less discriminating in the selection of their
clients and their business plans and more prone to funding the "wrong"
people and the "wrong" projects.
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And there is
a second significant difference between a print-and-spend and a
print-and-loan policy and this difference explains why the income
and wealth redistribution in your and your banker friends' favor
that is set in motion by easy credit takes the specific form of
a temporal – boom-bust – cycle, i.e., of an initial phase
of seeming general prosperity (of expected increases in future incomes
and wealth) followed by a phase of widespread impoverishment (when
the prosperity of the boom period is revealed as a widespread illusion).
This boom-bust
feature is the logical – and physically necessary – consequence
of credit created out of thin air, of credit unbacked by savings,
of fiduciary credit (or however else you may call it) and of the
fact that every investment takes time and only shows later on, at
some time in the future, whether it is successful or not.
The reason
for the business cycle is as elementary as it is fundamental. Robinson
Crusoe can give a loan of fish (which he has not consumed) to Friday.
Friday can convert these savings into a fishing net (he can eat
the fish while constructing the net), and with the help of the net,
then, Friday, in principle, is capable of repaying his loan to Robinson,
plus interest, and still earn a profit of additional fish for himself.
But this is physically impossible if Robinson's loan is only a paper
note, denominated in fish, but unbacked by real-fish savings, i.e.,
if Robinson has no fish because he has consumed them all.
Then, and necessarily
so, Friday must fail in his investment endeavor. In a simple barter
economy, of course, this becomes immediately apparent. Friday will
not accept Robinson's paper credit in the first place (but only
real, commodity credit), and because of this, the boom-bust cycle
will not get started. But in a complex monetary economy, the fact
that credit was created out of thin air is not noticeable: every
credit note looks like any other, and because of this the notes
are accepted by the takers of credit.
This does not
change the fundamental fact of reality that nothing can be produced
out of nothing and that investment projects undertaken without any
real funding whatsoever (by savings) must fail, but it explains
why a boom – an increased level of investment accompanied by
the expectation of higher future income and wealth – can get
started (Friday does accept the note instead of immediately refusing
it). And it explains why it then takes a while until the physical
reality reasserts itself and reveals such expectations as illusory.
But what's
a little crisis to you? Even if your path to riches is through repeated
crises, brought about by your paper-money regime and central-bank
policies, from your point of view – from the viewpoint as the
head of state and chief of the central bank – this form of
print-and-loan wealth redistribution in your own and your banker
friends' favor, while less immediate than that achieved with a simple
print-and-spend policy, is still much preferable, because it is
far more difficult to see through and recognize for what it is.
Rather than coming across as a plain fraud and parasite, in pursuing
an easy-credit policy you can even pretend that you are engaged
in the selfless task of "investing in the future" (rather
than spending on present frivolities) and "healing" economic
crises (rather than causing them).
What a world
we live in!
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