U.S.
policymakers and pundits continue to treat energy as a “strategic”
commodity, which is just a way of justifying inefficient government
meddling in the industry sector. Before the 1973 Middle East
oil crisis, the federal government tried to keep oil prices high to
subsidize the oil industry. Ever since the Arabs wrested control of
their oil resources from the U.S.-dominated international oil cartel
and formed an imitative cartel of their own, the U.S. government has
decried high oil prices and spent hundreds of billions of dollars of
taxpayer money to “protect” Saudi Arabia and other Middle East producers
in exchange for their efforts to restrain oil prices.
Yet
now talk of the government taking action to keep energy prices high
is again afoot. Thomas Friedman, the dean of pundits advocating
military-protected neo-mercantilism while at the same time pushing for
energy protectionism, advocates a government price floor on any barrel
of oil or gallon of gasoline sold or imported into America, taxing anything
below that level. He argues that a higher oil price “benefits
America as we rapidly become a bigger oil producer.” He concludes, “As our producers succeed, we would become increasingly energy
self-sufficient, keep a lot more dollars at home for our Treasury, stimulate
innovation on renewables, and drive down the global oil price that is
the sole source sustaining Iran and other petro-dictators.”
Friedman
pleads for government intervention to impose an oil-price floor because
increased oil production from offshore wells and unconventional sources,
as well as discoveries of natural gas all over America, have again made
the United States a major oil and gas producer. Also, predicted
lower domestic oil consumption because of George W. Bush’s subsidization
of ethanol — by mandating fixed quantities of biofuels used in gasoline — and
recently pledged higher fuel efficiency standards by the auto industry
lead Friedman to foresee the export of more U.S. crude oil. Thus,
Friedman implies that the United States should now join the OPEC cartel
and other oil-exporting countries in keeping prices high.
Yet
when Friedman says that a higher oil price “benefits America,” he
really means the U.S. oil industry. An oil-price floor and more
petroleum taxes certainly don’t help petroleum consumers — that is,
the vast majority of Americans.
Friedman
has always been a vociferous proponent of “energy independence.”
He gleefully notes that with all of this new American gas and oil production
and consequent increase in energy independence, domestic production
accounted for 81 percent of U.S. energy demand through the first 10
months of 2011. In my new book, No War for Oil: U.S.
Dependency and the Middle East, I refute the need for even worrying
about American dependence on imported energy and note that if Americans
want energy independence, they will pay through the nose for it.
This principle is demonstrated by Friedman’s advocacy of a price floor to subsidize domestic oil production.
Such
a price floor and tax, which would inefficiently reduce U.S. imports
of oil, would only drive down the global oil price if the excess supply of
“petro-dictators’ oil” were not soaked up by increased petroleum
imports by the raging economies of the developing world, including China
and India.
Besides,
although some countries that produce oil are dictatorships, some are
not — for example, Mexico, Canada, Britain, Norway, and Brazil.
Even most of the oil-producing dictatorships don’t support anti-U.S.
terrorism. In other words, the usual trumpeted link between oil
profits and terrorism is a canard.
Protectionism
and neo-mercantilism, the government subsidization of certain private
businesses at the expense of consumers, are as inefficient in energy
as they are in other products and commodities. One hidden subsidy
for American oil companies and overseas oil-producing countries that
my book exposes are the hundreds of billions of dollars spent “defending”
U.S. oil interests abroad. Even if wars in the Middle East occur, oil
is a valuable commodity, and exporting it generates handsome profits.
Thus, oil is often exported around and sometimes, as in the example
of the Iran-Iraq War in the 1980s, through wars. Guarding against
the rare oil-supply disruption by stationing vast American military forces, whose expenses are not contingent,
in the Middle East and
other places is unnecessary to prevent oil price shocks to developed
economies that
have proven resistant to them. Even oil protectionists and
neo-mercantilists,
such as Friedman, apparently don’t put much credence in the theory
that high oil prices damage developed economies. In fact, they
usually support wars in the Middle East and economic sanctions on
oil-producing nations — for example, against Saddam’s Iraq and currently
against Iran — that artificially drive oil prices up.
In
fact, stationing U.S. forces all over the Middle East may be done less
for
economic reasons and more for imperial ones. The motive may be
less to guard American and allied economies oil-price-spike-induced
harm, which is unlikely, and more to keep a finger on the juggler
of petroleum supplies for important importing countries, such as China,
India, Japan, South Korea, and Europe. But as explicated
by the economists of the 18th an 19th centuries,
empire does not pay financially.
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