Wednesday, October 24, 2012

The Tragic Demise of Fannie Mae


A new book offers an instructive lesson on the unhappy surprises caused by the government’s attempts to manipulate the housing market.
James R. Hagerty’s new book, The Fateful History of Fannie Mae: New Deal Birth to Mortgage Crisis Fall, shows how hard it is for administrations throughout history to know what they are really doing in their political attempts to manipulate the housing market.
As Hagerty explains, the Eisenhower administration, working through the Housing Act of 1954, tried to wean Fannie off the government’s credit and make it operate with private capital. It succeeded instead in creating the essence of the fateful and costly government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) structure.

In 1968, with an expanding government deficit and debt, the Johnson administration figured out how to remove Fannie from the federal budget accounting with “privatization.” This wasn’t privatization at all, but GSE-ification. This made Fannie’s profit private and the risk public, while giving it huge advantages over truly private companies. The result was even more government debt and risk.
The Nixon administration, through the Emergency Home Finance Act of 1970, put Fannie into the business of “conventional” mortgages (i.e. government mortgages that were not via the Federal Housing Administration or Veterans Affairs Department), thus vastly expanding the realm of government guarantees to the majority of mortgages, which did not need them. The same act set up a whole new GSE: Freddie Mac.

The Clinton administration, to promote homeownership, did so by pushing “innovative credit,” which simply meant riskier credit with higher leverage. This ran Fannie’s (and Freddie’s) risk up even further.
The risk came home to roost and the George W. Bush administration put the busted Fannie (and Freddie) into conservatorship, making them effectively government housing banks, entirely controlled by the government — a status which has now been continued for four years by the Obama administration. Utterly insolvent, the GSEs both should have been put into receivership.
But now the government is stopped from the logical act of receivership, because this would force all Fannie’s (and Freddie’s) debt onto the government’s books. Well, it certainly would be unfair to ask the government to tell the truth about its debt! What a tangle — and what an instructive lesson in the unhappy surprises caused by the government’s attempts to manipulate the housing market!
To hear more of the inside story of this “fateful history,” hear Hagerty discuss his book at AEI on October 24 at 5:00 p.m.
Alex J. Pollock, a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, will moderate the Fateful History of Fannie Mae book forum.

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